NASCAR at Phoenix betting odds, props, key stats to help bettors win TicketGuardian 500

After back-to-back Team Penske wins, NASCAR heads to ISM Raceway’s one-mile flat track in Phoenix for the fourth race of the season.

Brad Keselowski and Joey Logano are driving streaks of eight top-12 finishes dating back to last season, but both drivers will take a backseat to the current dominating performances of Kevin Harvick and Kyle Busch at Phoenix.

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Harvick (9/4) and Busch (7/2) have the shortest chances to win Sunday’s TicketGuardian 500 and both won at the track last season. This weekend, even if Harvick were to triumph, he would join an elite team, becoming only the sixth driver in series history to win 10 or more Cup Series races in one track; joining Richard Petty, Darrell Waltrip, Jimmie Johnson, David Pearson and Dale Earnhardt.

MORE: Chances to win 2019 NASCAR Cup Series championship

In three of the previous four Phoenix races, Busch has led 359 laps, including 117 in his triumph throughout last season’s playoffs — the first under the new arrangement of the track.

Phoenix’s monitor is similar to Richmond and New Hampshire and it’s no surprise both Harvick and Busch have had similar success at those racks. Busch has won the last two races in Richmond and 2017’s fall race in New Hampshire. Harvick won the most-recent race at New Hampshire and has finished in the top five in five of the previous six races at Richmond.

But unlike in those previous races, all drivers will use a new car installment executed by NASCAR, another from what we watched the last fourteen days at Atlanta and Las Vegas. This year teams will use a different-sized tapered spacer — and no aero ducts — for the first time. They will use a engine in Phoenix instead of the 550-horsepower engine in Vegas. NASCAR expects to see a well-handling car with a response time on the throttle. The new package could close the gap Busch and Harvick have experienced on the field.

So much in 2 races with NASCAR’s slightly differing rules package, Ford has five period wins and has led 65 percent of the laps. Harvick’s teammate, ford motorist Aric Almirola, will soon be a sleeper driver to watch this weekend. He was third at New Hampshire’s similar layout last season, fifth at Richmond and fourth last year’s fall race at Phoenix. Almirola is 20/1 to win on Sunday and we like him in a matchup with Kyle Larson at -110.

MORE: How to win betting on NASCAR at 2019

Curious to win 2019 TicketGuardian 500 at Phoenix

Odds provided by Westgate LV SuperBook

Kevin HARVICK 9/4
Kyle BUSCH 7/2
Brad KESELOWSKI 7/1
Joey LOGANO 8/1
Martin TRUEX JR 10/1
Chase ELLIOTT 10/1
Denny HAMLIN 15/1
Kyle LARSON 20/1
Aric ALMIROLA 20/1
Clint BOWYER 25/1
Erik JONES 25/1
Kurt BUSCH 30/1
Ryan BLANEY 30/1
Jimmie JOHNSON 50/1
Austin DILLON 50/1
Alex BOWMAN 50/1
Ricky STENHOUSE JR 50/1
Daniel SUAREZ 60/1
Ryan NEWMAN 100/1
William BYRON 100/1
Daniel HEMRIC 100/1
Paul MENARD 100/1
Ryan PREECE 200/1
Chris BUESCHER 200/1
Matt DIBENEDETTO 200/1
Darrell WALLACE JR 500/1
Ty DILLON 1000/1
Michael McDOWELL 2000/1
David RAGAN 2000/1
FIELD (all others) 500/1

Read more: dannycaliff.com