Can this get any simpler? Based on the way the expert NFL analysts of Bleacher Report are currently faring this season, it surely can not get much harder.
Deciding every match, Brad Gagnon Gary Davenport and Brent Sobleski had yet another tough run in Week 12, falling their joint record . Individually and as a team, here’s the harm through 12 months (a week’s documents in parentheses):
1. Gary Davenport: 92-78-6 (7-8)
2. Brent Sobleski: 81-89-6 (7-8)
3. Brad Gagnon: 78-92-6 (5-10)
Consensus picks: 83-87-6 (7-8)
With December looming, we requested longtime sports gambling advisor Dave Tuley when there could be some light at the end of the tube to the gambling public or when the sportsbooks will continue to benefit from bigger samples in the season.
Tuley gave us a hope, but not enough to get.
„There was a period less than a dozen years ago where I had a lot of years in a row where I just killed it the second half of the year and in December,“ he explained. „At the moment, I felt like it was only the time of year once the good teams were overrated and the bad teams were underrated, and with parity exactly what it had been, the underdogs were doing a whole lot better at that time.“
But Tuley notes that neither the books nor the bettors have struck consistently significant benefits . „Just as bettors want to believe that we are getting smarter the more people see these teams play,“ he said,“obviously the oddsmakers are seeing the same things we are, and they are adjusting and making it tough as well.“
But he believes it’s likely to pick out lines which were exaggerated by midseason streaks and/or slumps. Specifically, he pointed at the 7.5-point spread in favor of the New Orleans Saints at a road matchup with the NFC East-leading Dallas Cowboys on Thursday night.
With that line, oddsmakers are indicating the Saints will be favored by as many as 13 or 14 points if this game were in New Orleans, which will seem high considering the Cowboys are riding a three-game winning streak.
„That’s [a manifestation of] the way the Saints have been playing,“ Tuley said. „For the novels to balance their actions, they must put it at the amount.“
It’s something to keep in mind as we enter the final month of the 2018 season. It might not save your entire year but any guidance helps if you’ve been after us all year.
Here is what Gagnon Davenport and Sobleski are considering heading to the first 16-game slate in two or more months.
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