I have already given you my forecast and betting advice for the main event at UFC 218 (Aldo vs Holloway). Now the moneylines and props are out for the remainder of the card, it is time to get a UFC 218 deep dive.
Which underdogs have value? Which fights should bettors prevent? How do you put together a lucrative parlay on tap from the fights? Let’s have a look.
UFC 219 Odds and Predictions: Cyborg vs. Holm
There is not any big’dog calling out in UFC 218 to me. However, there is one man on this card who may withstand some odds.
Francis Ngannou (-270) vs. Alistair Overeem (+230)
Alistair Overeem may get merked by a bigger and stronger puncher at Francis Ngannou, however at +230, he’s worth throwing a few pennies at. Normally I would put this struggle from the stay-away class, but this is a significant test for Ngannou, a man who really hasn’t been tested yet.
Overeem is a veteran of the sport and, though his chin might be suspect, he has among the greatest fight IQs in the heavyweight division. His smarts and technical kickboxing capability could provide a large upset to us together with a profit. Do not go mad on this, though. Ngannou deserves to be preferred, not by this much. Overeem is worth a small wager.
Felice Herrig (-140) vs. Cortney Casey (+110)
Cortney Casey isn’t a huge dog, but her +105 moneyline would still net you a decent return and/or boost a parlay. Both fighters have looked strong, but stylistically, Casey seems to get the strength and size to give Herrig problems. The single woman that has been able to fit Casey’s physicality was Claudia Gadelha and woman is among the best in the division. If Casey can pour on the pressure, she can overwhelm Herrig and get a small upset win . Again, do not go crazy and throw your entire bankroll, but Casey is well worth a few shekels.
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